Because they don't count unless you're willing to throw down on record, my Oscar picks, after the jump.

[A disclaimer: Last year I was on fire, anointed by some god of Oscar prognostication. This year, all the angels have gone and I feel no such certainty.]

Best picture: "No Country for Old Men"

Lead actor: Daniel Day-Lewis in "There Will Be Blood"

Lead actress: Julie Christie in "Away from Her"

Supporting actor: Javier Bardem in "No Country for Old Men"

Supporting actress: Cate Blanchett in "I'm Not There"

Director: Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, "No Country for Old Men"

Animated feature: "Ratatouille"

Adapted screenplay: "No Country for Old Men," written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen

Original screenplay: "Juno," written by Diablo Cody

Animated short: "Madame Tutli-Putli"

Live-action short: "Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets)"

Sound editing: "There Will Be Blood," Matthew Wood

Sound mixing: "No Country for Old Men," Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter Kurland

Visual effects: "Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End," John Knoll, Hal Hickel, Charles Gibson and John Frazier

Art direction: "Atonement," Art direction: Sarah Greenwood; Set Decoration: Katie Spencer

Cinematography: Roger Deakins, "No Country for Old Men"

Costume design: Jacqueline Durran, "Atonement"

Documentary feature: "No End in Sight"

Documentary short subject: "Sari's Mother"

Editing: Roderick Jaynes, "No Country for Old Men"

Foreign language film: "Beaufort" - Israel

Makeup: Didier Lavergne and Jan Archibald, "La Vie en Rose"

Music - score: Dario Marianelli, "Atonement"

Music - song: "Falling Slowly" from "Once," Music and Lyric by Glen Hansard and Marketa Irglova

[Photo: You're getting pretty tired of that one, hmm? Well, I'm pretty tired of uploading it. "No Country for Old Men," Miramax, 2007]